Arizona Politics : Things can change a lot in two years in Arizona - Particularly if the U. S. Economy has a good performance and there is a good decrease in Unemployment and beautiful growth of the Gross National Product - A good value of stocks in 2011 and 2012 can convince the Rich and Wealthy that Obama is good for their economic interests. U. S. Presidents are always elected when the Economy is buoyant.
CBS News
The November Nine: How to Win in 2012
November 11, 2010
by Samuel J. Best, Brian S. Krueger
The November Nine: How to Win in 2012
Arizona
Arizona has been a reliably red state for decades, voting for the Republican presidential nominee in nine of the last ten elections. In 2008, John McCain won his home state of Arizona 55 percent to 47 percent over Barack Obama. The composition of Arizona, however, is changing, likely making the state more competitive in the next election, especially without a "favorite son" on the ballot.
According to the U.S. Census Bureau, the Hispanic population in nearly all of Arizona's counties has been growing faster than all other groups, which increases the chances they will determine the electoral outcome. In 2008, Hispanics in Arizona preferred Obama to McCain 56 percent to 41 percent. The margin amongst Hispanics was even larger in Tuesday's gubernatorial election, where Hispanics supported Democratic Terry Goddard over Republican Jan Brewer 71 percent to 29 percent.
Goddard was defeated, though, in part because of poor Hispanic turnout; Hispanics comprised only 13 percent of the electorate in 2010, compared to 16 percent in 2008. If Hispanics - many of whom are upset with the state's controversial new immigration law - turn out heavily again in 2012, then the state should be very much up for grabs.
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