Wednesday, April 25, 2012

Supreme Court appears likely to uphold SB 1070 : Unintended Consequence : a decision in favor of Arizona will cause more support among Latinos for Obama - For Obama more upside than downside politically in challenging the state-level immigration laws

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Because research of opinion polls shows that for non-Latinos SB 1070 is not a major priority. The state law is not a huge motivator among Republican voters.

And some Businesses and Capitalists have a tendency to side against SB 1070 : Hotels, Casinos, Restaurants, Construction, Real Estate, Agriculture, Farming, Landscaping, Gardening Services, Maid Services, Food Processing ( example : poultry ), Super Markets, Add Teachers and others that provide services and will see less customers, etc ...

POLITICO.COM
Supreme Court Justices appear likely to uphold key part of Arizona law
By CARRIE BUDOFF BROWN and JOSH GERSTEIN
April 25, 2012


Supreme Court Justices appear likely to uphold key part of Arizona law

Some excerpts :

During the Republican primary, Romney endorsed the Arizona law as a “model” for the country, but he has since walked back that statement as he moves into general-election mode.

His campaign said last week that the Romney endorsed only an element of the law requiring employers to verify an employee’s immigration status, rather than the controversial provision compelling local law enforcement to question a person’s legal status.

For Obama, the wave of lawsuits against state governments, including Alabama, South Carolina and Utah, hold some political risk because opinion polls show the measures to be popular with voters.

Justice Department officials insist that political considerations played no part in the decision to sue Arizona or the other states. However, many analysts say there’s more upside than downside politically in challenging the state-level immigration laws.

Gary Segura, a professor of political science at Stanford University who specializes in Latino issues, said while most voters support the idea of cracking down on illegal immigrants — at least in broad strokes — the vast majority of those voters don’t list the issue as a major priority.

“It’s not even a huge motivator among Republican voters,” Segura added.

He said the case has the potential to win Obama some support by adding another reason for Latino voters to vote Democratic, particularly if the Supreme Court upholds the Arizona law, which Obama has spoken out against.

Any major movement in support of Obama on the immigration issue will be less about the current administration’s policies and more about fear of the Republican alternative, Segura said.



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