Obama carries almost all Swing States and only loses North Carolina, Missouri and Indiana, among those states that are frequently discussed ! - Arizona is given to Romney but nobody is going to be surprised or shocked by that.
Even Florida, which is given to Romney by almost all serious analysts is given to Obama by the Super Prestigious POLITICO.COM - A website before which I take off my hat, by the superior quality of the writers and analysts. To read POLITICO.COM is the Greatest Delight and Pleasure.
The assesment of POLITICO.COM contradicts the history of bets during this year, because bettors have been in love with the State of Florida for Romney. Nate Silver of the New York Times also gives possibilities to Obama winning Florida.
POLITICO.COM is more optimistic than the Huffington Post, the New York Times, the Washington Post, Real Clear Politics, Election Projections, 270toWin.com and many other forecasters, all of them giving the election to Obama by smaller margins.
POLITICO.COM Electoral Map